Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +20 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -14.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.5 (-9.5) | 154.4 (+19.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.7 (-8.3) | 153.2 (+20.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -10.2 (-9.8) | 155.3 (+18.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -10.4 (-9.6) | 155.7 (+18.3) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 18-2 |
| Home | 7-9 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#107) | 21.9 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#148) | 3.94 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | 4.69 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#199) | 0.648 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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