You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Murphy Center · February 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MTSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 153.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total MTSU win
Actual MTSU +9 139 Won
Massey MTSU -11.2 (-2.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.4 (-15.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MTSU -8.5 (+0.5) 152.7 (-13.7) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MTSU -13.1 (-4.1) 153.1 (-14.1) 86% ✓
Baseline ML MTSU -11.9 (-2.9) 153.7 (-14.7) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MTSU -12.1 (-3.1) 154.6 (-15.6) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2022 MTSU 81 – 79 MRSH
Feb 13, 2021 MRSH 96 – 85 MTSU
Feb 12, 2021 MRSH 107 – 79 MTSU

Game Analysis

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