Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -1600 MTSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +28 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -18.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+48.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -13.8 (+14.2) | 143.5 (+42.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -17.1 (+10.9) | 139.1 (+46.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -17.5 (+10.5) | 138.7 (+47.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -16.7 (+11.3) | 143.1 (+42.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | MTSU 74 – 65 MRSH |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MTSU 81 – 79 MRSH |
| Feb 13, 2021 | MRSH 96 – 85 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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