Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -2000 MTSU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +11 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -19.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -14.5 (-3.5) | 148.0 (+33.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -18.2 (-7.2) | 144.7 (+36.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -18.8 (-7.8) | 145.5 (+35.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -18.2 (-7.2) | 148.3 (+32.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | MTSU 74 – 65 MRSH |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MTSU 81 – 79 MRSH |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MRSH 107 – 79 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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