Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -3.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -0.6 (-1.4) | 147.4 (+12.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -3.3 (+1.3) | 145.1 (+14.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -3.2 (+1.2) | 144.7 (+15.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -3.1 (+1.1) | 147.0 (+13.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | MTSU 74 – 65 MRSH |
| Feb 13, 2021 | MRSH 96 – 85 MTSU |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MRSH 107 – 79 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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