Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -700 CP +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +9 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -12.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -11.0 (-2.0) | 130.4 (-13.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -10.4 (-1.4) | 132.8 (-15.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -10.1 (-1.1) | 132.0 (-15.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -10.7 (-1.7) | 131.2 (-14.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#158) | -9.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#185) | -2.18 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#175) | -2.29 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#203) | 0.403 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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