Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -3.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.6 (+12.4) | 140.4 (-21.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.9 (+13.1) | 138.4 (-19.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -2.9 (+12.1) | 138.5 (-19.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.3 (+12.7) | 141.1 (-22.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | 3.4 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#116) | 0.91 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#114) | 0.96 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.521 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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