Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -0.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.8 (+7.8) | 144.9 (-3.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -0.1 (+7.1) | 147.8 (-6.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -0.0 (+7.0) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.3 (+6.7) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 15-6 |
| Home | 9-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-15 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#230) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#244) | -0.03 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#246) | -0.06 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#187) | 0.510 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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