Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -7.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -5.1 (+5.9) | 138.6 (+20.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -4.9 (+6.1) | 136.7 (+22.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -4.6 (+6.4) | 138.4 (+20.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.1 (+6.9) | 137.3 (+21.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#244) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#252) | -1.47 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#245) | -1.92 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#191) | 0.453 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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