Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -10.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -10.4 (+3.6) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -10.1 (+3.9) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -10.1 (+3.9) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -10.6 (+3.4) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#222) | -10.3 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#228) | -2.75 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#239) | -3.16 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#223) | 0.420 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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