Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -5.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -5.2 (+1.8) | 151.5 (-6.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -5.4 (+1.6) | 154.1 (-9.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -4.7 (+2.3) | 157.5 (-12.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -5.3 (+1.7) | 155.0 (-10.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | SEMO 56 – 53 UTM |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SEMO 66 – 50 UTM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | SEMO 90 – 79 UTM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTM 66 – 63 SEMO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTM 82 – 72 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#266) | -8.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#286) | -2.15 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#282) | -2.53 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#256) | 0.422 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.