Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -8.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -6.9 (-2.9) | 136.3 (+21.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.6 (-3.6) | 138.9 (+19.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.1 (-3.1) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -7.1 (-3.1) | 138.5 (+19.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | GB 70 – 68 UIC |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIC 78 – 64 GB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UIC 80 – 63 GB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | GB 69 – 59 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UIC 61 – 58 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-6 | 4-9 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#281) | -12.4 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#289) | -3.35 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#300) | -3.83 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#258) | 0.375 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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