Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | GB +210 UIC -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +14 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -3.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -6.5 (-7.5) | 137.8 (+4.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -3.3 (-10.7) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -3.1 (-10.9) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -4.2 (-9.8) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | GB 70 – 68 UIC |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UIC 80 – 63 GB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | GB 69 – 59 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UIC 61 – 58 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 4-16 |
| Home | 2-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-17 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#352) | -3.6 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#332) | -1.10 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#329) | -2.13 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#314) | 0.439 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 26.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 14.7% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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