Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -110 GB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -2.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -2.1 (-12.1) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.4 (-11.4) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.5 (-11.5) | 142.5 (-14.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.7 (-10.7) | 144.4 (-16.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | GB 70 – 68 UIC |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIC 78 – 64 GB |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UIC 80 – 63 GB |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UIC 61 – 58 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#278) | -7.1 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#257) | -1.37 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#267) | -1.54 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#282) | 0.436 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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