Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -1000 GB +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -16.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -9.7 (-11.7) | 131.1 (+6.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -13.0 (-15.0) | 129.6 (+8.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -14.3 (-16.3) | 129.0 (+9.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -13.6 (-15.6) | 127.9 (+10.1) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIC 78 – 64 GB |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UIC 80 – 63 GB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | GB 69 – 59 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UIC 61 – 58 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#71) | -4.7 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#85) | -1.11 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#62) | -1.90 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#49) | 0.414 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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