Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +100 GB +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -2.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -1.7 (+1.3) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.2 (+1.8) | 144.2 (-25.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.1 (+1.9) | 144.6 (-25.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.6 (+2.4) | 146.1 (-27.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | GB 70 – 68 UIC |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIC 78 – 64 GB |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UIC 80 – 63 GB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | GB 69 – 59 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#278) | -7.1 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#264) | -1.35 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#276) | -1.55 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#283) | 0.441 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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