Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +17 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -0.2 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.5 (-16.5) | 134.0 (+9.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.4 (-15.6) | 135.1 (+7.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.9 (-16.1) | 136.5 (+6.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.3 (-15.7) | 135.8 (+7.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | GB 70 – 68 UIC |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UIC 78 – 64 GB |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UIC 81 – 77 GB |
| Feb 21, 2021 | GB 69 – 59 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UIC 61 – 58 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#323) | -6.2 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#348) | -0.92 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.35 (#349) | -1.50 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.357 (#349) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 11.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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