Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -5.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -6.8 (+6.2) | 146.8 (+8.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -3.7 (+9.3) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -3.9 (+9.1) | 151.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -3.5 (+9.5) | 149.1 (+5.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 12-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#205) | -4.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#240) | -0.92 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#224) | -1.12 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#206) | 0.453 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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