Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.3 (-5.3) | 132.5 (-0.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.1 (-5.1) | 134.1 (-2.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.4 (-5.4) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.6 (-4.6) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2022 | APSU 68 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 19, 2021 | APSU 79 – 57 SIUE |
| Feb 1, 2021 | APSU 74 – 59 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#294) | -6.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#318) | -1.37 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#326) | -1.69 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#309) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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