Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | APSU -160 SIUE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -3.9 (+1.1) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -2.5 (+2.5) | 139.6 (-8.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -2.7 (+2.3) | 139.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -2.5 (+2.5) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | APSU 68 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 19, 2021 | APSU 79 – 57 SIUE |
| Feb 1, 2021 | APSU 74 – 59 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#265) | -6.1 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#294) | -1.82 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#287) | -2.28 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#291) | 0.420 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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