Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +275 APSU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -0.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -0.7 (-14.3) | 138.1 (-5.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.9 (-15.9) | 143.7 (-10.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.1 (-15.1) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -0.1 (-14.9) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | APSU 68 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 1, 2022 | APSU 68 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 19, 2021 | APSU 79 – 57 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 2-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#286) | -5.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#246) | -0.97 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#241) | -1.97 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#209) | 0.458 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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