Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | APSU -1000 SIUE +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -10.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -9.4 (+12.6) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -9.6 (+12.4) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -9.4 (+12.6) | 145.1 (-9.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -9.9 (+12.1) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | APSU 68 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 1, 2022 | APSU 68 – 63 SIUE |
| Feb 1, 2021 | APSU 74 – 59 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#207) | -10.5 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#231) | -1.66 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#245) | -2.21 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#195) | 0.447 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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