Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -3.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.3 (-10.3) | 157.0 (+4.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.1 (-12.1) | 156.7 (+4.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -3.2 (-12.2) | 158.4 (+2.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.0 (-13.0) | 158.2 (+2.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#211) | -3.1 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | -0.44 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | -0.57 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#125) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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