Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.9 (-8.1) | 143.7 (-11.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.5 (-9.5) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -1.1 (-8.9) | 143.8 (-11.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -1.3 (-8.7) | 143.4 (-11.4) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | CBU 86 – 72 UTU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UTU 70 – 65 CBU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CBU 73 – 64 UTU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CBU 84 – 72 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CBU 61 – 57 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#274) | -1.9 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#219) | -0.67 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#240) | -0.86 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#217) | 0.445 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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