Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · February 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SAC -2.0 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual SAC +32 134 Won
Massey SAC -1.0 (+31.0) — —
Massey Totals — 144.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SAC -1.2 (+30.8) 140.4 (-6.4) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IDHO -0.3 (+32.3) 145.9 (-11.9) 46% ✗
Baseline ML IDHO -0.5 (+32.5) 145.7 (-11.7) 45% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -0.6 (+32.6) 145.9 (-11.9) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 68 – 45 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 86 – 80 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 86 – 76 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 78 – 76 SAC
Jan 10, 2025 IDHO 80 – 67 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC IDHO
Overall 11-18 9-22
Conference 6-14 6-14
Home 6-8 8-7
Away 4-9 1-12
Neutral 1-1 0-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.5 71.9
Avg Pts Against 71.2 80.3
Massey -12.2 (#332) -10.5 (#321)
Bradley-Terry -2.04 (#324) -1.67 (#304)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.17 (#314) -1.81 (#294)
RPI 0.410 (#329) 0.415 (#323)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC IDHO
FG% 41.9% 43.3%
3PT% 33.9% 36.8%
REB / G 30.6 33.2
OREB / G 7.7 8.1
AST / TO 0.89 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 50.2%
TOV% 18.0% 18.4%
ORB% 22.0% 22.9%
FT Rate 19.7% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.1%
DRB% 71.3% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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