Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -6.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.5 (+7.5) | 138.8 (-7.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -4.1 (+9.1) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.6 (+8.6) | 141.9 (-10.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.4 (+8.4) | 142.8 (-11.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#63) | 17.4 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#63) | 3.05 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#63) | 3.98 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#55) | 0.624 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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