Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -10.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -9.0 (-23.0) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -9.5 (-23.5) | 149.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -8.5 (-22.5) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -9.1 (-23.1) | 149.7 (+2.3) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 70 CMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | M-OH 88 – 60 CMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CMU 71 – 55 M-OH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 2-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#245) | -12.3 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#251) | -1.57 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#255) | -2.19 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#300) | 0.445 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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