Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Chartway Arena · February 25, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 135.0 Under
Money ODU -120 / FAU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +19 121 Won
Massey FAU -2.0 (+21.0) — —
Massey Totals — 133.3 (-12.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAU -0.4 (+19.4) 133.5 (-12.5) 48% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -0.9 (+19.9) 135.8 (-14.8) 45% ✗
Baseline ML FAU -0.9 (+19.9) 136.4 (-15.4) 45% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FAU -0.3 (+19.3) 134.5 (-13.5) 46% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2022 FAU 81 – 62 ODU
Jan 10, 2021 ODU 64 – 55 FAU
Jan 9, 2021 ODU 71 – 67 FAU

Game Analysis

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