Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -7.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.6 (+12.4) | 134.9 (+8.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -8.1 (+10.9) | 137.8 (+5.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.1 (+11.9) | 137.4 (+5.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -7.3 (+11.7) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | ODU 70 – 51 FAU |
| Jan 10, 2021 | ODU 64 – 55 FAU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | ODU 71 – 67 FAU |
Game Analysis
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