Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Chartway Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money ODU -360 / FAU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +4 138 Won
Massey ODU -9.7 (-5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 138.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ODU -7.4 (-3.4) 134.3 (+3.7) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -8.7 (-4.7) 139.6 (-1.6) 80% ✓
Baseline ML ODU -9.7 (-5.7) 138.1 (-0.1) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ODU -8.9 (-4.9) 138.3 (-0.3) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2022 ODU 70 – 51 FAU
Feb 8, 2022 FAU 81 – 62 ODU
Jan 10, 2021 ODU 64 – 55 FAU

Game Analysis

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