Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -11.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -11.7 (+10.3) | 133.5 (+2.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -9.3 (+12.7) | 133.1 (+2.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -9.8 (+12.2) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -10.3 (+11.7) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-11 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#176) | -9.5 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#154) | -1.43 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | -1.74 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#136) | 0.445 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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