Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -4.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -3.2 (+9.2) | 149.5 (+6.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -2.9 (+8.9) | 149.9 (+6.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -2.8 (+8.8) | 153.9 (+2.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -2.8 (+8.8) | 152.3 (+3.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#290) | -0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#298) | 0.26 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#279) | 0.40 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#322) | 0.504 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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