Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +17 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -6.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.9 (-23.9) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.9 (-23.9) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.6 (-23.6) | 136.8 (+10.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.8 (-22.8) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#78) | 4.0 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 0.85 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#61) | 0.86 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#99) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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