Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +16 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -11.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.9 (-6.1) | 158.3 (+3.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.0 (-5.0) | 158.7 (+3.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.0 (-4.0) | 159.1 (+2.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.8 (-4.2) | 157.9 (+4.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#279) | 7.4 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#287) | 1.38 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#273) | 1.74 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#313) | 0.555 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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