Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | LBSU -350 UCSD +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +16 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -8.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+42.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -6.3 (+9.7) | 145.4 (+44.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -8.3 (+7.7) | 145.5 (+44.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -7.9 (+8.1) | 144.8 (+45.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -7.9 (+8.1) | 144.3 (+45.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#163) | -5.5 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#131) | -1.00 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#131) | -0.95 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.439 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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