Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -7.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.6 (+2.4) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.4 (+1.6) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -5.5 (+2.5) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.9 (+2.1) | 148.6 (+7.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | MONT 78 – 67 SUU |
| Dec 5, 2020 | SUU 75 – 74 MONT |
| Dec 4, 2020 | SUU 64 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | -4.4 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#169) | -0.40 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#174) | -0.46 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#137) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 18.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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