Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -0.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.2 (+10.8) | 143.5 (+1.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.0 (+11.0) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.2 (+10.8) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.0 (+11.0) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | SUU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Dec 5, 2020 | SUU 75 – 74 MONT |
| Dec 4, 2020 | SUU 64 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#236) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#186) | 0.30 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#193) | 0.19 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#187) | 0.515 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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