Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | SUU +115 MONT -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -12.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -4.5 (-3.5) | 145.7 (-18.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.9 (-3.9) | 147.1 (-20.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.8 (-4.8) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | SUU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | MONT 78 – 67 SUU |
| Dec 5, 2020 | SUU 75 – 74 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#75) | 1.2 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#195) | -0.12 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#180) | -0.03 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#234) | 0.625 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 44.0% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 37.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 52.2% |
Game Analysis
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