Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SUU +135 MONT -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -6.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -3.3 (-2.3) | 139.9 (+9.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.4 (-1.4) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.1 (-3.1) | 139.4 (+9.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -3.8 (-2.8) | 139.5 (+9.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | SUU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | MONT 78 – 67 SUU |
| Dec 4, 2020 | SUU 64 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#131) | 3.4 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#159) | -0.94 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#159) | -0.82 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.292 (#239) | 0.245 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 36.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 52.6% |
Game Analysis
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