Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +35 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -17.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -14.6 (+20.4) | 145.4 (-26.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -17.3 (+17.7) | 143.6 (-24.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -15.6 (+19.4) | 144.8 (-25.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -15.4 (+19.6) | 146.4 (-27.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | ACU 85 – 82 LAM |
| Mar 13, 2021 | ACU 93 – 71 LAM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | ACU 77 – 62 LAM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ACU 83 – 65 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 0-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#139) | -12.9 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#141) | -4.70 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | -5.94 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#149) | 0.338 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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