Abilene Christian
Wildcats
93
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
Lamar
Cardinals
Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -1200 LAM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +22 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -17.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -13.1 (+8.9) | 136.5 (+27.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -12.6 (+9.4) | 134.1 (+29.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -14.3 (+7.7) | 137.8 (+26.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -13.6 (+8.4) | 134.5 (+29.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | ACU 77 – 42 LAM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | ACU 85 – 82 LAM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | ACU 77 – 62 LAM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ACU 83 – 65 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#81) | -10.0 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#110) | -1.96 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#100) | -2.78 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#72) | 0.435 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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