Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -10.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -9.5 (+6.5) | 140.5 (+26.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -11.2 (+8.2) | 140.7 (+26.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -10.6 (+7.6) | 140.6 (+26.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -10.2 (+7.2) | 141.0 (+26.0) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | ACU 77 – 42 LAM |
| Mar 13, 2021 | ACU 93 – 71 LAM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | ACU 77 – 62 LAM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ACU 83 – 65 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-7 |
| Home | 2-11 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-18 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L27 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#334) | 2.2 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.40 (#357) | 0.35 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.54 (#357) | 0.39 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#357) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 28.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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