Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +700 ACU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -19.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -15.7 (+0.7) | 134.3 (+4.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -11.8 (-3.2) | 134.9 (+4.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -14.4 (-0.6) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -15.2 (+0.2) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | ACU 77 – 42 LAM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | ACU 85 – 82 LAM |
| Mar 13, 2021 | ACU 93 – 71 LAM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | ACU 83 – 65 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-2 |
| Home | 5-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#335) | 8.1 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#323) | 1.21 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#325) | 1.52 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#317) | 0.547 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 28.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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