Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -1000 LAM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -26.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -19.1 (-1.1) | 132.9 (+15.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -18.5 (-0.5) | 135.7 (+12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -21.4 (-3.4) | 134.9 (+13.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -21.8 (-3.8) | 132.3 (+15.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | ACU 77 – 42 LAM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | ACU 85 – 82 LAM |
| Mar 13, 2021 | ACU 93 – 71 LAM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | ACU 77 – 62 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#56) | -13.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#65) | -2.12 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#61) | -3.25 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#73) | 0.386 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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