Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -8.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -6.7 (-17.7) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -6.1 (-17.1) | 145.5 (+5.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.4 (-17.4) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.3 (-17.3) | 144.3 (+6.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OAK 74 – 65 PFW |
| Dec 4, 2025 | OAK 101 – 92 PFW |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PFW 80 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 23, 2025 | OAK 76 – 72 PFW |
| Mar 8, 2024 | OAK 75 – 65 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 15-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#144) | -4.0 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#156) | -0.67 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#182) | -1.05 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#97) | 0.476 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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