Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
75
–
65
FINAL
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Purdue Fort Wayne
Mastodons
Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -188 PFW +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -4.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -4.4 (+5.6) | 147.8 (-7.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -4.2 (+5.8) | 149.3 (-9.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.0 (+5.0) | 149.4 (-9.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.7 (+5.3) | 149.9 (-9.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OAK 74 – 65 PFW |
| Dec 4, 2025 | OAK 101 – 92 PFW |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PFW 80 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 23, 2025 | OAK 76 – 72 PFW |
| Feb 15, 2024 | OAK 71 – 63 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 10-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 1.5 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#118) | -0.12 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -0.09 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#75) | 0.487 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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