Betting Lines
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -125 PORT +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -2.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -1.0 (-5.0) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -4.3 (-1.7) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -3.8 (-2.2) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -3.4 (-2.6) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#277) | -1.5 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#282) | 0.10 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#287) | 0.01 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#312) | 0.489 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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