Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -6.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.7 (-11.3) | 155.4 (-13.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.6 (-11.4) | 155.5 (-13.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.5 (-11.5) | 156.9 (-14.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.3 (-11.7) | 157.8 (-15.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#331) | -2.3 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#339) | -0.44 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#332) | -0.75 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#283) | 0.515 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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