Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -6.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -5.1 (-3.1) | 136.1 (-0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -4.8 (-2.8) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -6.1 (-4.1) | 135.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -5.6 (-3.6) | 134.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 59 SFA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SHSU 76 – 71 SFA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHSU 49 – 41 SFA |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SFA 64 – 59 SHSU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | SFA 78 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | 0.2 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#121) | 0.17 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#125) | 0.05 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#73) | 0.524 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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