Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +8 | 90 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -0.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-49.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.2 (+7.8) | 141.6 (-51.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.4 (+6.6) | 137.0 (-47.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.0 (+8.0) | 142.3 (-52.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.1 (+7.9) | 142.8 (-52.8) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 59 SFA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | SHSU 76 – 71 SFA |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SFA 69 – 67 SHSU |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SFA 64 – 59 SHSU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | SFA 78 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#232) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#270) | 0.54 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#273) | 0.43 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#259) | 0.531 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.